94L has not changed much with respect to convection however the LLC is well defined and think its just a matter of 24 hrs or so before we see a gradual intensification on this system. Deeper moisture to the east and south should gradually be pulled more into the center however it will likely battle dry air while over the Atlantic. As far as the future track of this system the GFS still looks good to be and model guidance at least the so called more reliable models are all fairly close. Beyond 5 days is hard to tell but a threat the U.S is moderate I would say especially the Southeast U.S...
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Generated May 9, 2024, 9:02:22 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center