94L is really confusing me. It seems to have a distinct center, but little convection in that area. Down to the SE there is moderate convection but tonight it doesn't seem to have any flareup. What concerns me is that if it doesn't gain strength now, the GFS might just be right and the storm makes its way into the Caribbean before starting to gain strength and turning north through Cuba and into Florida.
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Generated May 9, 2024, 7:16:28 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center