Interestingly the 0z nam and GFS (which just initialized with some of the Gulfstream IV Recon data) are showing a pretty significant weakness in the ridge that I didn't notice before. That leads me to believe the models may shift eastward, which may be what the NHC was discussing about the short term. (longer term it may move more west)
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Generated May 9, 2024, 5:33:51 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center