I agree with Mike's assessment and Isaac seems to be going to cut across the NE most part of the island. That means more water time as it ambles NW'd. I think the intensity forecasts will adjust, perhaps upward, once this unsettled period abates and the storm is able to perform consistently for 6-8 hours. I am not convinced it will not be able to achieve the margins of cat I-II at its peak, so a 90+ peak is possible IMO.
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Generated May 9, 2024, 5:42:25 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center