cieldumort
Moderator
Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Area of Interest: Northern Gulf (90L)
Wed Sep 05 2012 03:02 AM
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A fairly impressive low to mid level disturbance associated with some of the remnant vorticity left over from Hurricane Isaac (see image below) has drifted south from the mid-west, through Louisiana/Alabama/Mississippi/Florida during the day Tuesday, and is now entering the northern Gulf of Mexico.
Below: Three Day Sequence of Lower-Level Vorticity
Image credit: UW-Madison SSEC/CIMSS. H/T: Stu Ostro
Pressures in this portion of the northern Gulf of Mexico have been falling with the approach of this area of disturbed weather, and are now down to around 1010mb. With shear in its immediate path presently running from a favorable 5, to not insurmountable 20 knots, and with very supportive sea surface temperatures, the only obvious detractor is that it is surrounded by dry air.
All in all, some development looks very possible.
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