It appears that Michael has a brief window of opportunity to become a minimal hurricane later today or this evening just before more shear begins to affect it as the upper level trough that bypassed Leslie is now approaching Michael.
The 5PM AST discussion indicates that NHC believes that the trough will also bypass Michael with minimal impact on the system which will allow Michael to intensify once the trough axis has passed.
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Generated April 28, 2024, 4:24:33 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center