Yes, I'm beginning to see a rather broad and elongated low level circulation in the later frames of the Gulf RGB satellite loop this morning. The more robust convection is still displaced to the S and SW for now, but it looks like the shear is beginning to relax a bit. The system does bear watching as any system in the Gulf should be watched this time of year. Looking at the Central US water vapor loop, the upper level low NE of the Bahamas is beginning to lift out to the NE and the trough down the eastern seaboard is moving away from 90L leaving it between that trough and the frontal system that is well to its NW, so a continued southward drift seems plausible for the immediate future until that frontal system begins to approach the Gulf coast and begins to have its affect on 90L.
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Generated May 11, 2024, 7:47:21 AM EDT
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