The convection is even farther removed from the weak LLC this afternoon. The shear is tearing it apart, so I don't believe that there will be any tropical development of this at all now (unless there is a miraculous convective burst over the LLC ). Even the 12Z model runs aren't developing it now instead, showing a very weak low on the front that is approaching the Gulf coast and Florida this weekend.
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Generated April 28, 2024, 6:57:33 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center