Interesting it is now the GFS that jogs the storm briefly westward toward the peninsula as it slows in the Bahamas, before turning it ENE and out to sea. ECMWF, takes this system off shore up the coast line as a significant NE'r. NHC is closer to the GFS without the jog.
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Generated May 5, 2024, 11:53:18 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center