Confidence in the track ends at five days...several of the models in the FSU ensemble have a very strong low center essentially plaguing the entire eastern coast line of the US after that...ECMWF takes the low center ashore in New England. Yikes! GFS has it out to sea... No reliable handle on the strength of the trough coming from the west, I guess.
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Generated May 7, 2024, 6:10:35 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center