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berrywr Weather Analyst Reged: Fri Posts: 387 Loc: Opelika, AL Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge       Thu Oct 25 2012 09:43 PM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   The following is the Final Extended Forecast Discussion out of the HPC...the same website which includes a current and out to 7 day surface analysis - EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 313 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012 VALID 12Z SUN OCT 28 2012 - 12Z THU NOV 01 2012 ...HIGH IMPACT MERGING OF ENERGETIC SYSTEMS ANTICIPATED OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST... PRELIMINARY UPDATE... DESPITE A MODEST CLUSTER OF OUTLYING DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, THE LION'S SHARE OF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AMPLIFYING POLAR TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO BECOME INCORPORATED INTO A HYBRID VORTEX OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NEXT TUESDAY. THE HIGH DEGREE OF BLOCKING FROM EASTERN NORTH AMERICA ACROSS THE ENTIRE ATLANTIC BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THIS UNUSUAL MERGER TO TAKE PLACE, AND ONCE THE COMBINED GYRE MATERIALIZES, IT SHOULD SETTLE BACK TOWARD THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH HALLOWEEN, INVITING PERHAPS A GHOULISH NICKNAME FOR THE CYCLONE ALONG THE LINES OF "FRANKENSTORM", AN ALLUSION TO MARY SHELLEY'S GOTHIC CREATURE OF SYNTHESIZED ELEMENTS. AS IS OFTEN THE CASE, WHEN ONE PART OF THE NATION IS EXPERIENCING A VERY ENERGETIC ATMOSPHERE DISTURBANCE, THE REMAINDER IS RELATIVELY CALM. THIS EVENT SHOULD NOT PROVE THE EXCEPTION, WITH A FAIRLY BENIGN FEED OF PACIFIC AIR INTO MOST OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL STATES. THE FAR WEST, PARTICULAR NORTH OF CALIFORNIA, WILL HAVE ENOUGH SUSTAINED ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE PERIOD WET AND UNSETTLED. FINAL... UPDATED THE TRACK OF SANDY TO FIT THE 15Z/25 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TRACK THROUGH 5 DAY, WHICH DOVETAILS WELL INTO THE HYBRID LOW POSITIONS THEREAFTER FOR DAYS 6 AND 7. BOTH THE 12Z/25 GFS AND GEM GLOBAL BRING THE LOW INTO THE NEW YORK CITY AREA, WITH THE ECMWF DIRECTING IT INTO THE LOWER DELMARVA PENINSULA. THE UPSHOT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IS THE SAME- HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS FOR AREAS ALONG THE TRACK OF THE TROPICAL REMNANT, WITH HEAVY SNOWS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHWEST EDGE WHERE THE CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR RUSHES ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT LOWLANDS TO THE EAST. CISCO -------------------- Sincerely, Bill Berry "Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I" Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort Thu Oct 25 2012 09:43 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge jkapust   Wed Oct 24 2012 06:00 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:41 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:43 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 11:43 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Fri Oct 26 2012 12:46 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Fri Oct 26 2012 06:32 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 01:52 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Fri Oct 26 2012 04:31 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:30 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Troy C   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:10 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Ed Dunham   Mon Oct 22 2012 08:38 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Mon Oct 22 2012 09:20 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielw   Tue Oct 23 2012 12:08 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 23 2012 12:21 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeC   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:06 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:09 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeC   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:23 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 11:05 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Oct 24 2012 02:56 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:26 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Oct 24 2012 06:46 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeC   Fri Oct 26 2012 07:37 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Fri Oct 26 2012 07:51 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 10:18 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Fri Oct 26 2012 10:45 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 11:29 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielw   Sat Oct 27 2012 12:45 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 10:48 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 11:01 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Sat Oct 27 2012 02:27 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Sat Oct 27 2012 01:19 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielw   Sat Oct 27 2012 02:24 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 05:40 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 11:40 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielw   Sun Oct 28 2012 12:23 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielw   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:20 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielw   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:29 AM Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:49 AM Re: Dodge MA and NH? berrywr   Sun Oct 28 2012 03:46 AM Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 09:38 AM Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 03:59 AM Re: Dodge MA and NH? cieldumort   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:28 AM Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:33 PM Re: Dodge MA and NH? danielw   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:57 PM Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 06:10 PM Re: Dodge MA and NH? MichaelA   Sun Oct 28 2012 09:57 PM Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:33 PM Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:07 PM Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:34 PM Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:46 PM Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2012 12:46 AM Re: Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane HobbyistinNH   Mon Oct 29 2012 10:27 PM Re: Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2012 10:46 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Oct 24 2012 08:24 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 08:27 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 01:37 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 25 2012 02:09 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 03:04 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 03:47 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielw   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:05 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:32 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeC   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:41 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeC   Thu Oct 25 2012 08:09 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:19 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:33 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 23 2012 03:33 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Tue Oct 23 2012 08:38 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Oct 23 2012 09:30 AM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Oct 23 2012 04:41 PM Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Tue Oct 23 2012 07:01 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge bobbutts   Mon Oct 22 2012 12:24 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Oct 22 2012 08:11 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 22 2012 05:20 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Oct 22 2012 05:19 PM Re: Brewing Up Two More Invests ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 21 2012 05:05 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge danielw   Sun Oct 21 2012 07:55 AM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Oct 21 2012 09:01 AM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun Oct 21 2012 06:41 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge doug   Sun Oct 21 2012 07:32 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 21 2012 10:25 PM Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Oct 22 2012 11:22 AM

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