Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

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Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge
      Sun Oct 28 2012 01:29 AM

MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
111 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

VALID OCT 28/0000 UTC THRU OCT 31/1200 UTC

HURRICANE SANDY
===============
PREFERENCE: 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF COMPROMISE BY DEFAULT

THE 12Z ECMWF & 00Z GFS MODELS ARE CLOSEST TO THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) TRACK OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STANDARDIZED
ANOMALIES AT THE 500 HPA LEVEL WITH SANDY ARE EXTREME FROM THE
GET-GO, RUNNING A RARELY-SEEN SIX SIGMAS BELOW AVERAGE NEAR THE
30TH PARALLEL AT THE INITIAL TIME STEP, STRONGLY SUGGESTING A
RECORD EVENT IS UNDERWAY. A COMPROMISE OF THE TWO WILL LEAD TO A
REASONABLE COMPROMISE ALOFT, WHERE THE 00Z GFS HAS MUCH LOWER 500
HPA HEIGHTS (ON THE ORDER OF 5220 METERS) THAN THE REMAINDER OF
THE GUIDANCE (THOUGH ITS STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES NEAR ITS CENTER IN
MARYLAND AND PENNSYLVANIA REMAIN WITHIN FOUR SIGMAS OF NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER SO IT CANNOT BE DISMISSED), INCLUDING THE NAM WHICH
CAN BIAS IN THE DEEP DIRECTION. CONSULT LATEST NHC
ADVISORIES/DISCUSSIONS FOR FURTHER INFO REGARDING SANDY.


...MODEL TREND GRAPHICS AT
www.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/HTML/MODEL2.SHTML...
...500 MB FORECASTS AT www.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/H5PREF/H5PREF.SHTML...

ROTH
$$

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort Sun Oct 28 2012 01:29 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge jkapust   Wed Oct 24 2012 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Fri Oct 26 2012 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Fri Oct 26 2012 06:32 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Fri Oct 26 2012 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Troy C   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 22 2012 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Mon Oct 22 2012 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 23 2012 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 23 2012 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Oct 24 2012 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Oct 24 2012 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 26 2012 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Fri Oct 26 2012 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Fri Oct 26 2012 10:45 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 27 2012 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Sat Oct 27 2012 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Sat Oct 27 2012 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 27 2012 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:20 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:29 AM
. * * Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? berrywr   Sun Oct 28 2012 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 03:59 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? cieldumort   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? MichaelA   Sun Oct 28 2012 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:46 PM
. * * Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2012 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane HobbyistinNH   Mon Oct 29 2012 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2012 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Oct 24 2012 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 25 2012 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 03:04 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:05 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 23 2012 03:33 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Tue Oct 23 2012 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Oct 23 2012 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Oct 23 2012 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Tue Oct 23 2012 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge bobbutts   Mon Oct 22 2012 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Oct 22 2012 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 22 2012 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Oct 22 2012 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Brewing Up Two More Invests ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 21 2012 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 21 2012 07:55 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Oct 21 2012 09:01 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun Oct 21 2012 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge doug   Sun Oct 21 2012 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 21 2012 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Oct 22 2012 11:22 AM

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