FLHurricane.com: Invest 90L (xBarbara) Forecast Lounge

As of 4:00 AM CDT, Tropical Depression Barbara was heading generally north at an estimated 8 MPH through the northern half of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec, and is expected to enter the southern Gulf of Mexico later this morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to around 35 MPH, with stronger gusts.

Within the past few hours considerable deep convection has been redeveloping right atop and to the north of an apparently still intact Low Level Circulation Center, and it seems reasonable to assume that Barbara probably has a better than 50-50 shot of becoming an officiated Atlantic basin tropical cyclone, which would make it the first of the season.

Because Barbara has now become an Atlantic basin interest, we will open up a lounge at this time. This is where to put our mid to long range thoughts on Barbara's potential for further development, intensity, and forecast track. Longer range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

Edited to reflect downgrade to remnants.

Edited by cieldumort (Fri May 31 2013 02:23 PM)

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