There are a lot of "ifs" that I can see with this system. If it survives while crossing the Yucatan. If it actually enters the Bay of Campeche. If conditions remain favorable for development, etc. Not saying that it can't or won't develop; just that the odds are mostly stacked against it for now.
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Generated May 15, 2024, 9:07:52 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center