The Euro doesn't have a great handle on this system, but it takes it slightly north of the Caribbean and loses it around Saturday (possibly turning north). The GFS model moves it right into the Caribbean as a weak system, and eventually dissipates it. Judging by the condition of 95L now and the immediate forecast, I don't think either of the global models really have a good handle on the system yet.
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Generated May 17, 2024, 12:51:10 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center