I agree that the models haven't really latched on to this system just yet. There isn't a lot of historical guidance for storms in that region/area forming in early July; simply not what one would expect so early in the season. SSTs are fairly high already, so we may be in for a wild ride this year. It also looks like the wave train is setting up over the African continent a bit early too.
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Generated May 16, 2024, 11:14:21 PM EDT
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