GFDL is also showing a hook back toward Florida, similar to the GFS. GFS continues the storm across FL into the Gulf, but substantially weakened. However, anything, even a remnant, in the Gulf bears close watching.
Looking at the wide area tropical Atlantic IR, there are several systems showing signs of turning in addition to Chantal: (1) a cluster of thunderstorms near the Bahamas and (2) a wave near the eastern edge of the frame. Models are not developing either of these.
GFS is also showing a strong wave coming out of the eastern Atlantic in the next few days - looks like something to keep an eye on.
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Generated May 17, 2024, 12:51:05 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center