12Z run of GFS today keeps Dorian further south, and moves it over Puerto rico and Plows itself into Hispaniola and dies.
This run may be a bit too far south, but at the same time Dorian appears to be weakening today. With,based on visible satellite photos, the low level center possibly decoupling from the mid levels, which would allow for a further south track.
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Generated May 17, 2024, 12:11:55 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center