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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge
      Mon Jul 29 2013 07:42 AM

A quick run through the floater loops suggests to me that it is still a trough. The outflow looks less impressive this morning. The influence of the ULL to its NW is pronounced on the west side preventing any evacuation along its western edge. It has completely separated from the tropical convergence zone and will have to generate its energy internally for the most part. In that regard pressures are relatively high in the immediate surroundings 1016-1018, and it will have to sustain convective development in order to do so. Right now I think most of the convection is of diffluent origin, i.e. interaction with the ULL, particularly to the west of the base of the trough, which may spell the end of the system if it cannot develop a consistent convective core near the base of the trough. I think the NHC has correctly called this a toss up and I have no sense that further development in the sense of cyclone regeneration will occur.

--------------------
doug

Edited by doug (Mon Jul 29 2013 07:46 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dorian Forecast Lounge cieldumort Mon Jul 29 2013 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 24 2013 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 01:31 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 07:19 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Thu Jul 25 2013 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 26 2013 06:57 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 26 2013 07:12 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 26 2013 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 26 2013 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Jul 26 2013 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JimB   Fri Jul 26 2013 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 26 2013 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sat Jul 27 2013 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Sat Jul 27 2013 05:17 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Jul 27 2013 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jul 27 2013 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Jul 27 2013 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge panhandler   Sun Jul 28 2013 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 04:30 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JMII   Sun Jul 28 2013 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Jul 29 2013 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Jul 29 2013 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Jul 29 2013 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JMII   Mon Jul 29 2013 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Jul 29 2013 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Aug 01 2013 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Aug 02 2013 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 02 2013 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Aug 02 2013 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Jul 24 2013 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge panhandler   Wed Jul 24 2013 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 24 2013 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Jul 24 2013 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Wed Jul 24 2013 12:56 PM

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