I looked at the both the 14/00Z GFS and 13/12Z ECMWF and took a look at the UKMET as well; for the moment there is no consensus with the GFS and ECMWF; the gurus at WPC and NHC for the moment are leaning with the ECMWF and UKMET which moves the system generally west-northwest. The GFS can't be dismissed if you believe the upper level trough retrogrades back towards the west and the upper level ridge over the WAO builds westward in the days ahead. I'm not going to venture a guess...it's mute until this system gains some vertical structure and depth.
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Generated May 6, 2024, 11:12:44 AM EDT
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