MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Re: East Atlantic Wave
Tue Jul 04 2017 06:52 AM
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Morning models
6Z GFS develops it in the short term, keeps it well north of the Caribbean, then it rapidly starts to fall apart on July 10th, and falling apart later.
GFS Paralel is similar to the regular GFS this run, falls apart north tf the Caribbean.
0Z Euro clips the northeastern Leewards, then weakens the system, it recovers north of the Bahamas and ends the run south of North Carolina (primed for recurve) Euro is stronger than the GFS.
CMC moves it into Southeastern North Carolina on July 14th as a tropical storm, but misses the Leeward islands to the north.
In short, long range still unsure of location, but the trend is weaker or dissipating system (TUTT destroys it), short term development is very likely, perhaps even later today. (more likely tomorrow though)
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