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#1010063 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 28.Jul.2020)
TCMAT4

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FROM CABO CAUCEDO NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* DOMINICA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND THE
SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 55.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 55.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 54.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.4N 58.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.7N 62.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.2N 66.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 60SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.7N 69.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 90SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.9N 72.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 90SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.2N 75.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 80SE 0SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.7N 79.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 27.0N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 55.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN