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#1010983 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 03.Aug.2020)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
2100 UTC MON AUG 03 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO
STONINGTON MAINE.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO
RIVERS
* OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO STONINGTON MAINE
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* CHESAPEAKE BAY
* TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER
* DELAWARE BAY
* LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD...NANTUCKET...AND BLOCK ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF STONINGTON TO EASTPORT MAINE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC
AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 79.4W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 90SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 79.4W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 79.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 34.7N 78.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 39.3N 75.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 44.5N 71.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 48.8N 68.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 52.0N 67.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 54.3N 63.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 79.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 04/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART