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#1013021 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 20.Aug.2020)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020
2100 UTC THU AUG 20 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
WESTWARD TO PUNTA CASTILLA AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO PUNTA CASTILLA HONDURAS
* BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS...INCLUDING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO...MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 81.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 81.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 80.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.7N 83.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.6N 84.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N 85.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.7N 86.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.3N 87.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.1N 89.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 26.0N 91.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 28.5N 93.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 81.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 21/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG