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#1013637 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 24.Aug.2020)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020
1500 UTC MON AUG 24 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND
GRANMA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA
HABANA...ARTEMISA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY TO KEY WEST
* DRY TORTUGAS

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. NORTHWEST GULF COAST AREA BY THIS EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 80.6W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 80.6W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 79.7W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.2N 82.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.6N 86.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.2N 88.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.8N 91.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.7N 92.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.2N 93.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 36.0N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 37.5N 81.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 80.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN