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| #1014974 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:44 PM 02.Sep.2020) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nana Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162020 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 02 2020 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS NANA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 85.1W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM ENE OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM E OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Belize from Belize City southward to the Belize-Guatemala border. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Belize north of Belize city to the Belize-Mexico border A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Yucatan Mexico from Puerto Costa Maya to Chetumal * The coast of Belize north of Belize city to the Belize-Mexico border * Caribbean Sea coast of Guatemala A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Northern coast of Honduras from Punta Patuca westward to the Guatemala border * Isla Roatan and the Bay Islands of Honduras A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning may be issued for Isla Roatan and the Bay Islands of Honduras later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nana was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 85.1 West. Nana is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected today. A westward or west-southwestward motion is expected tonight and Thursday. On the forecast track, Nana will be moving near but north of the coast of Honduras later today, and the center should make landfall on the coast of Belize tonight or early Thursday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Nana is forecast to become a hurricane tonight before it reaches the coast of Belize. Weakening is expected after landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning area in Belize tonight and early Thursday, with tropical storm conditions expected by tonight. Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Belize, Guatemala, and Mexico by tonight, with hurricane conditions possible in the Hurricane Watch area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in Honduras, including Isla Roatan and the Bay Islands, later today and tonight. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Nana is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Friday: Northern coast of Honduras: 1 to 3 inches. Belize, Guatemala and the Mexican states of Chiapas and Tabasco: 3 to 6 inches, isolated totals of 8 inches. The southeast portion of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo: 2 to 4 inches. The eastern portions of the Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca: 6 to 8 inches, isolated totals of 12 inches. SURF: Swells generated by Nana are affecting portions of the southern coast of Jamaica and the Cayman Islands, and will spread along the coasts of Honduras and Belize today and tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven |