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| #1015297 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 AM 05.Sep.2020) TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 AM AST Sat Sep 05 2020 Omar continues to produce bursts of deep convection that are being sheared to the south of the center of circulation. However, these busts are near enough to the center for the system to still qualify as a tropical cyclone. Since Omar is now finally beginning to head for cooler waters, convection will likely decrease and Omar should become a remnant low within 24 hours. As expected, the cyclone is now moving north-northeastward, or 020/6 kt. A continued generally north-northeast track with acceleration is likely, under the influence of an approaching large mid-level trough. The official track forecast is similar to the NOAA corrected consensus, HCCA, prediction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0900Z 36.2N 57.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 37.6N 56.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 06/0600Z 40.1N 55.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1800Z 43.0N 52.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch |