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#1016648 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 AM 14.Sep.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
1500 UTC MON SEP 14 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 42.8W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 42.8W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 42.2W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.2N 44.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.9N 46.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.7N 48.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.7N 49.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.9N 51.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.3N 52.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 42.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN