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#1016993 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 15.Sep.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
0300 UTC WED SEP 16 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 48.3W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 80SE 40SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 48.3W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 48.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 49.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N 50.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 52.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N 53.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.6N 54.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N 56.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 26.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 48.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG