Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#1017594 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 18.Sep.2020)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
1500 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTEREST IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TEDDY. WATCHES
MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 56.1W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 56.1W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 55.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.3N 57.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.2N 58.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.1N 60.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.7N 62.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 30.7N 62.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.7N 62.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 170SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 41.4N 62.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 46.8N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 56.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO