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#1018217 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 PM 21.Sep.2020)
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number 38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020
500 PM AST Mon Sep 21 2020

...TEDDY ABOUT TO GET LARGER AND STRONGER NORTH OF BERMUDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC
BEACHES FOR A FEW MORE DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 62.0W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Meat Cove to Tidnish
* North of Digby to Fort Lawrence
* Magdalen Islands
* Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the
progress of Teddy. Additional watches and/or warnings could be
required later tonight or on Tuesday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located
near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 62.0 West. Teddy is moving
toward the north near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this motion is
expected tonight followed by a turn to the north-northwest on
Tuesday. Teddy should turn to the north-northeast and move over
eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday then over the Gulf of St.
Lawrence late Wednesday into Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Teddy is expected to gain strength overnight, but weaken
steadily by Wednesday and become a strong post-tropical cyclone
before reaching Nova Scotia.

Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in
the warning area by Tuesday afternoon. Tropical-storm-conditions
could begin in the watch areas late Tuesday or early Wednesday.

SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to
produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic
Canada.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall in Nova Scotia. Near the coast, the surge
will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake