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#1019694 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 02.Oct.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252020
0300 UTC SAT OCT 03 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA HERRERO TO CABO CATOCHE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF PUNTA HERRERO TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA MEXICO
* WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO DZILAM MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 86.1W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 86.1W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 85.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.8N 86.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 20SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.6N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 40SE 20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 88.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 40SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.9N 88.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 40SE 40SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.7N 90.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 21.0N 91.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 20.3N 92.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 86.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI