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#1019959 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 AM 05.Oct.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252020
0900 UTC MON OCT 05 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH AND WEST OF CANCUN TO DZILAM MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF DZILAM TO CAMPECHE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 87.5W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 45SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 87.5W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 87.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N 88.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 88.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.4N 89.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.8N 90.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.3N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.7N 90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.5N 90.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 87.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 05/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART