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| #1022059 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:51 PM 21.Oct.2020) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Special Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS EPSILON IS STILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING... ...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.4N 59.7W ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 59.7 West. Epsilon is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north by Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda Thursday afternoon or evening. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft has found that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible this afternoon, followed by little change in strength or gradual weakening into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435 miles (705 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning later today and continuing intermittently through late Thursday. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake |