|
Show Selection: |
| #1022128 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:54 AM 22.Oct.2020) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON MAKES A WOBBLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 60.5W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 60.5 West. Epsilon has been wobbling during the past few hours, but its longer-term motion is now toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). This northwestward motion is expected to continue today. The hurricane is forecast to turn toward the north-northwest late today and toward the north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Epsilon is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Small fluctuations in intensity are possible through this morning, but a weakening trend is expected to begin later today and continue into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km) mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 953 mb (28.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |