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#1022530 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 AM 25.Oct.2020)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
0900 UTC SUN OCT 25 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PINAR DEL RIO CUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* COZUMEL

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 83.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 83.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 83.5W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.2N 83.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.9N 84.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.8N 85.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.1N 87.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.9N 89.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.4N 90.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 32.0N 89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 83.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART