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#1022688 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 26.Oct.2020)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
1500 UTC MON OCT 26 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO
* COZUMEL

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
* SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA ALLEN
* WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 85.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 85.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 84.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 86.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.5N 88.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 90.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.7N 91.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.9N 90.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 33.0N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 40.0N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 85.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH