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#1024040 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:57 PM 05.Nov.2020)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
2100 UTC THU NOV 05 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS CONTINUE TO ISSUE
WARNINGS ON HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IN THOSE COUNTRIES...AND
INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND WESTERN CUBA
SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA LATER TONIGHT
OR ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 87.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 87.7W AT 05/2100Z...INLAND
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 87.7W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.4N 87.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.1N 86.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.1N 84.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.1N 83.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.3N 81.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.4N 80.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 23.5N 82.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 87.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN