Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#1025109 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:39 AM 13.Nov.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020
0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 24.9W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 150SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 540SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 24.9W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 25.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.7N 23.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.4N 21.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.1N 19.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 30.9N 18.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 31.1N 18.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.1N 18.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 36.0N 17.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 24.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS