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| #1025142 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:53 AM 13.Nov.2020) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTY-ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020 1500 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THAT AREA TONIGHT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 74.3W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 74.3W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 74.0W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.8N 76.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.9N 77.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.1N 79.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.5N 80.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.9N 82.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 15.2N 85.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.7N 88.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 74.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |