Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#1025176 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:38 PM 13.Nov.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020
2100 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 22.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 480SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 22.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 23.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.7N 21.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.4N 19.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.3N 18.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 31.7N 17.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.5N 17.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 34.4N 17.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 39.2N 12.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 22.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO