Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#1025178 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:45 PM 13.Nov.2020)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020
2100 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF
THAT AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 74.3W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 74.3W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 74.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.7N 75.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.7N 76.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 13.9N 77.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.2N 79.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.6N 81.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.0N 82.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 15.2N 85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.7N 88.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 74.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN