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#1056834 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 14.Aug.2021)
TCMAT1

REMNANTS OF FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021
1500 UTC SAT AUG 14 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
MISSISSIPPI TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF FRED. WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER IN THE WEEKEND.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 83.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 83.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 82.6W...DISTURBANCE

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 24.1N 84.2W...DISTURBANCE
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.7N 85.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.4N 86.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.7N 87.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.0N 87.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.5N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 35.0N 86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 83.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN