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#1056961 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 15.Aug.2021)
TCMAT1

REMNANTS OF FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021
0900 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD
TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER...FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OCHLOCKONEE FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
ALABAMA TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THE REMNANTS OF FRED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER THIS
MORNING.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 84.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 84.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 84.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.5N 85.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.0N 86.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.5N 87.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.3N 87.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.5N 86.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.0N 85.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 84.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART