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| #1057389 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:14 AM 17.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number 32 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED SOUTH OF ATLANTA, GEORGIA... ...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS NORTH GEORGIA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...EASTERN TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.4N 84.7W ABOUT 30 MI...48 KM SSW OF ATLANTA GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flood Watches are in effect for portions of north Georgia, the western Carolinas, eastern Tennessee and Kentucky, and extreme southwest Virginia. Tornado Watches are in effect for parts of north Georgia and the western Carolinas. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 84.7 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through today with a gradual acceleration to the northeast through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Through Today Portions of Georgia and the Southern Appalachians... 4 to 8 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 10 inches are expected. Through Friday Central Appalachians including portions of the Mid-Atlantic States as well as portions of the Northeast...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected. Heavy rainfall across portions of the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic States and Northeast could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. An increased risk of landslides exists across the mountains of North Carolina as well as portions of the Blue Ridge Escarpment today. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Tropical Storm Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through this evening across parts of Georgia, the western Carolinas, and southwestern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Carbin |