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| #1057456 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 PM 17.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number 34 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 1100 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021 ...FRED MOVING UP THE APPALACHIANS AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WHILE SLOWLY TRANSITIONING INTO A NON-TROPICAL LOW... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.6N 82.6W ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SW OF HARRISBURG PENNSYLVANIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the southern and central Appalachians as well as sections of the adjacent Piedmont. Tornado Watches are posted over the western Carolinas and southwest Virginia. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 82.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h) and this motion is expected to become northeasterly overnight and Wednesday before decelerating and taking on a more easterly track on Thursday while moving through southern New England. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional weakening is possible over the next couple of days as it tracks through the eastern United States. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Tonight into Wednesday morning... Southern Appalachians...additional 1 to 3 inches of rain, with isolated maximum storm totals of 10 inches. Wednesday through Thursday night... Central Appalachians and interior portions of the Mid-Atlantic States into the Northeast...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected. Heavy rainfall across portions of the Southern and Central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic States, and Northeast could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. An increased risk of landslides exists across the mountains of North Carolina as well as portions of the Blue Ridge Escarpment through tonight. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Tropical Storm Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible tonight across parts of the western Carolinas and southwestern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Roth |