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| #1057717 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:05 PM 19.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred Advisory Number 41 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 500 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED WILL MOVE TO THE COAST OF MAINE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...43.0N 72.7W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM W OF PORTSMOUTH NEW HAMPSHIRE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for portions of western Maine. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred was located near latitude 43.0 North, longitude 72.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred is expected to produce an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain through tonight across parts of interior New England, from Vermont and New Hampshire into Maine. This rainfall could lead to localized flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. As Fred continues to transition to an extratropical cyclone and move toward the Canadian Maritime Provinces, the threat of heavy rain will end across Maine by early Friday morning. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Carbin |