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#1062919 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 23.Sep.2021)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
0900 UTC THU SEP 23 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 36.4W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 36.4W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 35.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 10.8N 38.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.3N 40.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.9N 43.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 12.5N 45.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.0N 46.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.7N 48.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 15.0N 50.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 16.9N 53.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 36.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI