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#1063754 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 29.Sep.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021
1500 UTC WED SEP 29 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 24.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 24.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.1N 24.2W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 8.8N 25.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 9.5N 27.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.3N 29.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 11.2N 31.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.4N 33.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.0N 35.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.4N 38.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 24.3N 40.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.3N 24.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI