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#1064046 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 01.Oct.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021
1500 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 33.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 33.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 33.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.0N 34.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.1N 36.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.7N 38.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.6N 40.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.7N 42.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 43.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.6N 46.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 27.1N 46.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 33.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY